A interação da prospetiva e inteligência estratégicas no âmbito da gestão estratégica de Defesa : estudo de caso do Reino Unido

Abstract

This research work examines the interaction of Strategic Intelligence (SI) with strategic foresight (SF) in the context of strategic defense management, using the case study of the United Kingdom (UK). The focus is on understanding how the interaction of SI with the SF can improve the construction of the strategic defense management of the UK. To this end, the Defense Policy and the strategic management of Defense of the UK are characterized and analyzed in a time frame from the post-war (1948) to the present day. The study points out that this interaction provides a more comprehensive and long-term complementary perspective for SI, allowing a better understanding of potential threats and future opportunities. However, this interaction faces obstacles, including the difficulty of integrating the long-term SF with the needs of Intelligence (shorter term) and the lack of a consolidated structure regarding access and secrecy for cooperation between different stakeholders in Defense. In addition, opportunities, obstacles, and challenges of SI are identified in the building of strategic management in defense policy in the case of the United Kingdom. The research indicates that it is up to SI shape the future, with many variables, an extensive time frame, many actors involved and susceptible to various pressures, expanding the dynamism, interaction and expectation of greater demand and less available response time and in various dimensions. It is expected, in the process of strategic management, to reduce from the point of view of intelligence, the deficiency of greater, better, and faster production of knowledge.The findings contribute to future reflection and academic work by providing practical insights to intelligence prospects and operators in the context of strategic defense management on the potential improvements and challenges of the interaction in question